Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-06 3.306464 3.499581 3.705131 3.941444 4.207218 4.498817 4.845650
2025-04-13 2.933958 3.177724 3.448925 3.776605 4.166888 4.623775 5.210098
2025-04-20 2.758008 3.047737 3.383007 3.807206 4.341441 5.010001 5.942949
2025-04-27 2.622571 2.948556 3.339004 3.854179 4.538409 5.454240 6.853904
2025-05-04 2.535182 2.897052 3.345026 3.961244 4.826127 6.072733 8.196939
2025-05-11 2.429713 2.812831 3.299973 3.993859 5.015895 6.593617 9.595616
2025-05-18 2.318264 2.711516 3.222369 3.971207 5.120511 7.007563 11.009357
2025-05-25 2.180857 2.566786 3.074763 3.832875 5.027625 7.072127 11.761666
2025-06-01 2.084893 2.470834 2.986312 3.771400 5.047141 7.341317 13.164120
2025-06-08 2.007999 2.395655 2.920862 3.737038 5.105246 7.698490 15.098027
2025-06-15 1.952679 2.346325 2.887897 3.748264 5.241943 8.253642 18.275351
2025-06-22 1.878138 2.266454 2.805677 3.673994 5.215011 8.450543 20.495064
2025-06-29 1.798882 2.181988 2.719961 3.600691 5.207100 8.760837 24.313789
2025-07-06 1.713369 2.085128 2.610951 3.481117 5.097390 8.803895 27.192755
2025-07-13 1.675947 2.054687 2.599162 3.522651 5.312552 9.796668 42.281269
2025-07-20 1.643598 2.029715 2.593825 3.574790 5.562935 11.067532 87.914671
2025-07-27 1.624419 2.022661 2.615362 3.676673 5.948180 13.139104 NaN
2025-08-03 1.591949 1.994172 2.600994 3.711699 6.192062 15.004474 NaN
2025-08-10 1.551742 1.952154 2.562168 3.696731 6.312501 16.525272 NaN
2025-08-17 1.494192 1.881730 2.473551 3.578656 6.147077 16.428397 NaN
2025-08-24 1.453027 1.834680 2.421017 3.526837 6.149891 17.362706 NaN
2025-08-31 1.418871 1.796992 2.381964 3.498184 6.211230 18.817188 NaN
2025-09-07 1.394120 1.772691 2.363773 3.509384 6.388099 21.528228 NaN